PPG - PPG Industries, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$130.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$138.00
LOW:
$122.00
MEDIAN:
$130.00
CONSENSUS:
$130.00
UPSIDE:
13.62%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
65% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
6.92$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
16.5x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $6.92, the base-case value is $103.80 per share. DDM cross-check: $69.69.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (38 analysts)
$130.00
Analyst Range
$122.00 – $138.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
20%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $69.69 (below our primary estimate by 33%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples