PNC - The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$272.80
DETAILS
HIGH:
$305.00
LOW:
$240.00
MEDIAN:
$275.00
CONSENSUS:
$272.80
UPSIDE:
22.39%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
15.1%
9.4%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (15.1%) vs. cost of equity (9.4%)
Implied Market Multiple
1.93x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 15.1% vs. 9.4% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.05x on $115.22 tangible book, implying $235.72 per share. DDM cross-check: $183.33.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (46 analysts)
$272.80
Analyst Range
$240.00 – $305.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
14%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly