PICS - PicS N.V.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$16.75
DETAILS
HIGH:
$20.00
LOW:
$15.00
MEDIAN:
$16.00
CONSENSUS:
$16.75
UPSIDE:
88.63%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
32.2x
1.57$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (32x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
5.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 32x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.57, the base-case value is $50.74 per share.
Warnings
Financial statements were converted from BRL into USD using USDBRL at 0.1869 USD per BRL.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples