PEG - Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$83.40
DETAILS
HIGH:
$88.00
LOW:
$78.00
MEDIAN:
$84.00
CONSENSUS:
$83.40
UPSIDE:
15.38%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
4.21$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
17.2x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.21, the base-case value is $67.36 per share. DDM cross-check: $76.27.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (33 analysts)
$83.40
Analyst Range
$78.00 – $88.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
19%
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples