Everpure, Inc. logo P - Everpure, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 32
HOLD 11
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $86.63 DETAILS
HIGH: $105.00
LOW: $60.00
MEDIAN: $86.50
CONSENSUS: $86.63
DOWNSIDE: 0.65%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 88.5% above fair value
Current Price $87.20
Bear Case $30.30 65.3% downside ($30.30 - $87.20) / $87.20 = -65.3% 10% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $46.27 46.9% downside ($46.27 - $87.20) / $87.20 = -46.9% 17% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $65.05 25.4% downside ($65.05 - $87.20) / $87.20 = -25.4% 23% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

17.5%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (17% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%
Implied Market Multiple 108.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $86.63 from 45 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $46.27 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 256% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $86.63 (from 45 analysts). Our estimate is 67% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions