Everpure, Inc. logo P - Everpure, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 37
HOLD 7
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $134.80 DETAILS
HIGH: $167.00
LOW: $80.00
MEDIAN: $137.00
CONSENSUS: $134.80
UPSIDE: 6.96%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 331.3% above fair value
Current Price $126.03
Bear Case $19.12 84.8% downside ($19.12 - $126.03) / $126.03 = -84.8% 10% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $29.22 76.8% downside ($29.22 - $126.03) / $126.03 = -76.8% 17% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $41.11 67.4% downside ($41.11 - $126.03) / $126.03 = -67.4% 23% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

17.5%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (17% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%
Implied Market Multiple 157.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) 39.2% vs our 17.5% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 17% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $29.22 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (46 analysts) $134.80
Analyst Range $80.00 – $167.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 78%

Warnings

⚠ Stock-based employee pay equals 256% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $134.80 (from 46 analysts). Our estimate is 78% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions