P - Everpure, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$94.38
DETAILS
HIGH:
$115.00
LOW:
$70.00
MEDIAN:
$95.50
CONSENSUS:
$94.38
UPSIDE:
26.57%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
17.5%
12.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (17% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
40%
Implied Market Multiple
92.2x
Market is pricing in (growth)
31.7%
vs our 17.5% base
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $94.38 from 46 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $48.58 per share.
Warnings
Stock-based employee pay equals 256% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $94.38 (from 46 analysts). Our estimate is 69% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions