Ormat Technologies, Inc. logo ORA - Ormat Technologies, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 8
HOLD 9
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $138.86 DETAILS
HIGH: $152.00
LOW: $126.00
MEDIAN: $142.00
CONSENSUS: $138.86
UPSIDE: 4.05%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 73.7% above fair value
Current Price $133.46
Bear Case $62.85 52.9% downside ($62.85 - $133.46) / $133.46 = -52.9% $2.55 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $76.82 42.4% downside ($76.82 - $133.46) / $133.46 = -42.4% $2.55 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $90.78 32.0% downside ($90.78 - $133.46) / $133.46 = -32.0% $2.55 × 26x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

22.0x
2.55$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 52.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $138.86 from 17 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $76.82 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $138.86 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 60% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples