ORA - Ormat Technologies, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$132.14
DETAILS
HIGH:
$152.00
LOW:
$112.00
MEDIAN:
$135.00
CONSENSUS:
$132.14
UPSIDE:
36.72%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
22.0x
2.02$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
47.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.02, the base-case value is $44.44 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (19 analysts)
$132.14
Analyst Range
$112.00 – $152.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
66%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $132.14 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 66% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples