Omega Flex, Inc. logo OFLX - Omega Flex, Inc.

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AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 4.2% below fair value
Current Price $29.61
Bear Case $24.72 16.5% downside ($24.72 - $29.61) / $29.61 = -16.5% $2.06 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $30.90 4.4% upside ($30.90 - $29.61) / $29.61 = 4.4% $2.06 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $37.08 25.2% upside ($37.08 - $29.61) / $29.61 = 25.2% $2.06 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
2.06$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 14.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.06, the base-case value is $30.90 per share. DDM cross-check: $25.52.

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 40%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
⚠ The company pays out 93% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples