Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. logo ODFL - Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 20
SELL 5
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $217.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $240.00
LOW: $138.00
MEDIAN: $224.00
CONSENSUS: $217.50
DOWNSIDE: 1.60%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B 74.8 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for cyclical & capital-intensive businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
B+ 79.0
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 26.4% 100/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -0.63 pp/yr 30/100
Contributes 11.8 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
A+ 97.1
  • 5yr Avg ROE 27.2% 100/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -2.6% 92/100
Contributes 14.6 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 10%
D 33.0
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 1.1% 29/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 2.1% 34/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 2/5 40/100
Contributes 3.3 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
B+ 76.7
  • 5yr FCF Margin 14.7% 81/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 0.73x 71/100
Contributes 11.5 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
A+ 97.7
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 0.01x 95/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 4600.01x 100/100
  • Altman Z-Score 24.78 100/100
Contributes 24.4 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
C- 46.0
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.52 28/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 7 78/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 3/5 40/100
Contributes 9.2 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Dumping

2 of 3 gurus held; 2 added; 2 full exits.

Holders
2 -1
Avg Δ position
+3.4%
New buys
0
Full exits
2
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (10%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.