Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. logo ODFL - Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 13
HOLD 19
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $234.86 DETAILS
HIGH: $263.00
LOW: $200.00
MEDIAN: $235.00
CONSENSUS: $234.86
UPSIDE: 35.76%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B+ 77.3 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for cyclical & capital-intensive businesses. Purely quantitative — the six pillars score only reported financials, no analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
B+ 79.0
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 28.5% 100/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -0.63 pp/yr 30/100
Contributes 11.8 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
A+ 96.7
  • 5yr Avg ROE 29.3% 100/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -2.4% 90/100
Contributes 14.5 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 10%
B- 66.2
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 6.5% 67/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 11.2% 80/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 2/5 40/100
Contributes 6.6 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
B+ 76.7
  • 5yr FCF Margin 14.7% 81/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 0.73x 71/100
Contributes 11.5 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
A+ 97.7
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 0.01x 95/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 4600.01x 100/100
  • Altman Z-Score 19.76 100/100
Contributes 24.4 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
D+ 42.7
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.52 28/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 3/5 40/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
Contributes 8.5 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Dumping

1 of 2 gurus held; 1 trimmed; 3 full exits.

Holders
1 -1
Avg Δ position
-2.1%
New buys
0
Full exits
3
As of Q2 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (10%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Negative-Revenue Years (5), Piotroski F-Score

The six pillars read only reported financial-statement fields — no analyst targets or consensus ratings. The archetype that picks which pillar formulas apply is not fully price-free, though: it can route a company to the distressed/ungradable archetype based on price vs. its 52-week high, and beta affects one classification check. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required. Insurers and banks are graded on their own methodology — insurers on loss ratio, its trend and stability, and premiums-to-surplus; banks on the efficiency ratio, its trend and stability, and equity-to-assets — rather than on industrial margin/ROIC signals. Distressed, highly leveraged infrastructure, asset-manager, and other financial businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.