National Fuel Gas Company logo NFG - National Fuel Gas Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 9
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $88.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $101.00
LOW: $76.00
MEDIAN: $88.50
CONSENSUS: $88.50
UPSIDE: 7.30%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Oil & Gas E&P

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

C 56.3 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for oil & gas e&p businesses. Purely quantitative — the six pillars score only reported financials, no analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
D+ 39.8
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 9.4% 57/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -2.85 pp/yr 0/100
Contributes 6.0 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 10%
B 72.2
  • 5yr Avg ROE 16.6% 84/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR 0.7% 50/100
Contributes 7.2 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 5%
B 70.5
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 8.1% 75/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 3/5 60/100
Contributes 3.5 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 25%
C 51.2
  • 5yr FCF Margin 5.6% 52/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 0.54x 50/100
Contributes 12.8 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
C+ 58.3
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 2.14x 67/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 5.45x 67/100
  • Altman Z-Score 1.67 32/100
Contributes 14.6 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
C+ 60.9
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.40 43/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 2/5 60/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 8 89/100
Contributes 12.2 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Dumping

3 of 3 gurus held; 2 added; 1 trimmed; 2 full exits.

Holders
3 +1
Avg Δ position
+19.4%
New buys
0
Full exits
2
As of Q2 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (10%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (5%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (25%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Negative-Revenue Years (5), Piotroski F-Score

The six pillars read only reported financial-statement fields — no analyst targets or consensus ratings. The archetype that picks which pillar formulas apply is not fully price-free, though: it can route a company to the distressed/ungradable archetype based on price vs. its 52-week high, and beta affects one classification check. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required. Insurers and banks are graded on their own methodology — insurers on loss ratio, its trend and stability, and premiums-to-surplus; banks on the efficiency ratio, its trend and stability, and equity-to-assets — rather than on industrial margin/ROIC signals. Distressed, highly leveraged infrastructure, asset-manager, and other financial businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.