Murphy USA Inc. logo MUSA - Murphy USA Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 6
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $504.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $600.00
LOW: $450.00
MEDIAN: $483.50
CONSENSUS: $504.25
DOWNSIDE: 7.09%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Stable Earnings Power

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B- 67.1 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for stable earnings power businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 20%
B 73.6
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 15.5% 81/100
  • Operating Margin Trend +0.02 pp/yr 56/100
Contributes 14.7 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
A+ 100.0
  • 5yr Avg ROE 83.4% 100/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -7.4% 100/100
Contributes 15.0 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 15%
C 56.7
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 2.8% 43/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 12.7% 83/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 2/5 40/100
Contributes 8.5 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
C+ 61.2
  • 5yr FCF Margin 2.3% 37/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 0.91x 91/100
Contributes 9.2 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 20%
B- 67.5
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 3.16x 47/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 6.67x 72/100
  • Altman Z-Score 7.25 100/100
Contributes 13.5 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 15%
D+ 41.0
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.66 17/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 7 78/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 3/5 40/100
Contributes 6.2 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Holding

5 of 5 gurus held; 1 new buy; 2 added; 2 trimmed.

Holders
5 +1
Avg Δ position
+721.9%
New buys
1
Full exits
0
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (20%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (15%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (20%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (15%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.