Meritage Homes Corporation logo MTH - Meritage Homes Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 19
HOLD 16
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $83.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $90.00
LOW: $77.00
MEDIAN: $83.00
CONSENSUS: $83.25
UPSIDE: 29.61%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

C 53.0 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for cyclical & capital-intensive businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
D+ 42.6
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 10.2% 61/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -2.49 pp/yr 0/100
Contributes 6.4 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
A- 80.8
  • 5yr Avg ROE 14.3% 78/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -1.9% 87/100
Contributes 12.1 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 10%
D 33.5
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 3.3% 47/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR -9.8% 0/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 3/5 60/100
Contributes 3.3 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
F 20.7
  • 5yr FCF Margin 1.1% 30/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 0.09x 9/100
Contributes 3.1 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
A- 81.9
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 1.98x 70/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 30.00x 100/100
  • Altman Z-Score 3.07 81/100
Contributes 20.5 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
D 37.9
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.70 14/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 5 56/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 2/5 60/100
Contributes 7.6 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Accumulating

2 of 2 gurus held; 2 added.

Holders
2
Avg Δ position
+42.9%
New buys
0
Full exits
0
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (10%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.