Marathon Petroleum Corporation logo MPC - Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 25
HOLD 8
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $229.63 DETAILS
HIGH: $285.00
LOW: $174.00
MEDIAN: $226.50
CONSENSUS: $229.63
DOWNSIDE: 9.83%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Oil & Gas E&P

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B- 65.2 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for oil & gas e&p businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
B 71.4
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 18.4% 88/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -0.54 pp/yr 32/100
Contributes 10.7 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 10%
A+ 100.0
  • 5yr Avg ROE 47.9% 100/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -16.8% 100/100
Contributes 10.0 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 5%
C+ 61.6
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 2.6% 41/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 49.0% 100/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 2/5 40/100
Contributes 3.1 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 25%
B 72.5
  • 5yr FCF Margin 5.3% 51/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 1.10x 98/100
Contributes 18.1 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
B- 67.5
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 2.63x 57/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 5.97x 69/100
  • Altman Z-Score 3.26 84/100
Contributes 16.9 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
D- 32.0
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.89 4/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 3/5 40/100
Contributes 6.4 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Accumulating

4 of 4 gurus held; 3 added; 1 trimmed.

Holders
4
Avg Δ position
+222.0%
New buys
0
Full exits
0
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (10%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (5%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (25%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.