AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes McCormick & Company, Incorporated's fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag MKC as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is McCormick & Company, Incorporated's fair value?

Fair value for MKC is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value MKC?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from MKC's most recent reported fundamentals.

MKC - McCormick & Company, Incorporated

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $73.20 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate

Trading 30.2% below fair value

Current Price $47.80

Bear Case $56.42 18.0% upside ($56.42 - $47.80) / $47.80 = 18.0% $3.91 × 14x P/E

Fair Value $68.51 43.3% upside ($68.51 - $47.80) / $47.80 = 43.3% $3.91 × 17x P/E

Bull Case $80.59 68.6% upside ($80.59 - $47.80) / $47.80 = 68.6% $3.91 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

17.0x

Adjusted EPS

3.91$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 12.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $73.20 from 30 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $68.51 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 33%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $80.02 (above our primary estimate by 20%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples