Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation logo MGY - Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 13
HOLD 13
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $29.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $34.00
LOW: $26.00
MEDIAN: $29.00
CONSENSUS: $29.00
DOWNSIDE: 0.82%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Oil & Gas E&P

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B+ 76.1 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for oil & gas e&p businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
B- 66.4
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 21.8% 95/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -6.93 pp/yr 0/100
Contributes 10.0 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 10%
B+ 78.5
  • 5yr Avg ROE 24.6% 99/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR 1.4% 40/100
Contributes 7.9 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 5%
D+ 41.0
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 5.0% 60/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR -7.2% 6/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 3/5 60/100
Contributes 2.1 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 25%
A+ 98.8
  • 5yr FCF Margin 39.9% 100/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 1.16x 97/100
Contributes 24.7 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
A+ 97.0
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 0.17x 93/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 20.31x 100/100
  • Altman Z-Score 5.01 100/100
Contributes 24.2 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
D 35.9
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.76 9/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 5 56/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 2/5 60/100
Contributes 7.2 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Holding

4 of 4 gurus held; 1 new buy; 1 added; 2 trimmed.

Holders
4 +1
Avg Δ position
+12.9%
New buys
1
Full exits
0
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (10%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (5%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (25%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.