MCB - Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$100.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$100.00
LOW:
$100.00
MEDIAN:
$100.00
CONSENSUS:
$100.00
UPSIDE:
8.57%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
9.6%
9.7%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (9.6%) vs. cost of equity (9.7%)
Implied Market Multiple
1.54x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 9.6% vs. 9.7% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 0.99x on $59.94 tangible book, implying $96.75 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (5 analysts)
$100.00
Analyst Range
$100.00 – $100.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
3%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Return on equity (9.6%) is below the minimum investors require (9.7%). This means the bank is worth less than the net assets on its books.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly