LegalZoom.com, Inc. logo LZ - LegalZoom.com, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 4
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $8.17 DETAILS
HIGH: $10.00
LOW: $6.50
MEDIAN: $8.00
CONSENSUS: $8.17
UPSIDE: 6.42%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 7.8% below fair value
Current Price $7.68
Bear Case $6.37 17.0% downside ($6.37 - $7.68) / $7.68 = -17.0% 7% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $8.33 8.5% upside ($8.33 - $7.68) / $7.68 = 8.5% 11% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $10.29 34.0% upside ($10.29 - $7.68) / $7.68 = 34.0% 14% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

10.9%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (11% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%
Implied Market Multiple 18.2x
Market is pricing in (growth) 9.5% vs our 10.9% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $8.17 from 12 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $8.33 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 737% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions