LZ - LegalZoom.com, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$11.42
DETAILS
HIGH:
$20.00
LOW:
$6.50
MEDIAN:
$9.50
CONSENSUS:
$11.42
UPSIDE:
63.38%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
80% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
10.2%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (10% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
39%
Implied Market Multiple
16.1x
Market is pricing in (growth)
6.1%
vs our 10.2% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 10% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $9.16 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (12 analysts)
$11.42
Analyst Range
$6.50 – $20.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
20%
Warnings
Stock-based employee pay equals 737% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions