LegalZoom.com, Inc. logo LZ - LegalZoom.com, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 6
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $11.42 DETAILS
HIGH: $20.00
LOW: $6.50
MEDIAN: $9.50
CONSENSUS: $11.42
UPSIDE: 91.13%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 34.6% below fair value
Current Price $5.97
Bear Case $7.01 17.4% upside ($7.01 - $5.97) / $5.97 = 17.4% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $9.14 52.9% upside ($9.14 - $5.97) / $5.97 = 52.9% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $11.24 88.1% upside ($11.24 - $5.97) / $5.97 = 88.1% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

10.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 13.4x
Market is pricing in (growth) 3.5% vs our 10.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 10% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $9.14 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (12 analysts) $11.42
Analyst Range $6.50 – $20.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 20%

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 737% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions