LTH - Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$45.88
DETAILS
HIGH:
$60.00
LOW:
$37.00
MEDIAN:
$43.50
CONSENSUS:
$45.88
UPSIDE:
9.52%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
22.5x
1.72$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
24.3x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $45.88 from 13 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $40.16 per share.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples