LTH - Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$54.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$64.00
LOW:
$46.00
MEDIAN:
$53.50
CONSENSUS:
$54.67
UPSIDE:
22.61%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
22.5x
1.66$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
26.9x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.66, the base-case value is $37.35 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (15 analysts)
$54.67
Analyst Range
$46.00 – $64.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
32%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $54.67 (from 15 analysts). Our estimate is 32% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples