LRN - Stride, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$38.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$38.00
LOW:
$38.00
MEDIAN:
$38.00
CONSENSUS:
$38.00
DOWNSIDE:
54.32%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
19.7x
7.14$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (20x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
11.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 20x P/E to adjusted EPS of $7.14, the base-case value is $140.67 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (17 analysts)
$38.00
Analyst Range
$38.00 – $38.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
270%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $38.00 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 270% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples