Cheniere Energy, Inc. logo LNG - Cheniere Energy, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 24
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $307.44 DETAILS
HIGH: $336.00
LOW: $283.00
MEDIAN: $310.00
CONSENSUS: $307.44
UPSIDE: 8.35%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 43.8% below fair value
Current Price $283.76
Bear Case $403.92 42.3% upside ($403.92 - $283.76) / $283.76 = 42.3% $24.13 × 17x P/E
Fair Value $504.90 77.9% upside ($504.90 - $283.76) / $283.76 = 77.9% $24.13 × 21x P/E
Bull Case $605.87 113.5% upside ($605.87 - $283.76) / $283.76 = 113.5% $24.13 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

20.9x
24.13$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (21x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 11.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 21x P/E to adjusted EPS of $24.13, the base-case value is $504.90 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (27 analysts) $307.44
Analyst Range $283.00 – $336.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 64%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $307.44 (from 27 analysts). Our estimate is 64% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples