Cheniere Energy, Inc. logo LNG - Cheniere Energy, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 24
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $272.43 DETAILS
HIGH: $300.00
LOW: $236.00
MEDIAN: $283.00
CONSENSUS: $272.43
UPSIDE: 4.15%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 41.5% below fair value
Current Price $261.58
Bear Case $357.43 36.6% upside ($357.43 - $261.58) / $261.58 = 36.6% $24.13 × 17x P/E
Fair Value $446.78 70.8% upside ($446.78 - $261.58) / $261.58 = 70.8% $24.13 × 21x P/E
Bull Case $536.13 105.0% upside ($536.13 - $261.58) / $261.58 = 105.0% $24.13 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

20.9x
24.13$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (21x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 10.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $272.43 from 27 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $446.78 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $272.43 (from 27 analysts). Our estimate is 85% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples