LNG - Cheniere Energy, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$307.44
DETAILS
HIGH:
$336.00
LOW:
$283.00
MEDIAN:
$310.00
CONSENSUS:
$307.44
UPSIDE:
8.35%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
20.9x
24.13$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (21x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
11.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 21x P/E to adjusted EPS of $24.13, the base-case value is $504.90 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (27 analysts)
$307.44
Analyst Range
$283.00 – $336.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
64%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $307.44 (from 27 analysts). Our estimate is 64% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples