Cheniere Energy, Inc. logo LNG - Cheniere Energy, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 24
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $256.86 DETAILS
HIGH: $290.00
LOW: $220.00
MEDIAN: $254.00
CONSENSUS: $256.86
UPSIDE: 9.18%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 46.9% below fair value
Current Price $235.26
Bear Case $354.31 50.6% upside ($354.31 - $235.26) / $235.26 = 50.6% $24.13 × 17x P/E
Fair Value $442.89 88.3% upside ($442.89 - $235.26) / $235.26 = 88.3% $24.13 × 21x P/E
Bull Case $531.46 125.9% upside ($531.46 - $235.26) / $235.26 = 125.9% $24.13 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

20.9x
24.13$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (21x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 9.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $256.86 from 27 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $442.89 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $256.86 (from 27 analysts). Our estimate is 97% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples