LGI Homes, Inc. logo LGIH - LGI Homes, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 4
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $88.80 DETAILS
HIGH: $125.00
LOW: $60.00
MEDIAN: $85.00
CONSENSUS: $88.80
UPSIDE: 92.58%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

D 34.2 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for cyclical & capital-intensive businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
D- 28.0
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 6.0% 40/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -3.39 pp/yr 0/100
Contributes 4.2 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
B 74.3
  • 5yr Avg ROE 11.7% 68/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -1.7% 85/100
Contributes 11.1 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 10%
F 8.0
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR -13.5% 0/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR -34.8% 0/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 2/5 40/100
Contributes 0.8 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
F 0.0
  • 5yr FCF Margin -6.6% 0/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion -0.81x 0/100
Contributes 0.0 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
C- 45.8
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 15.52x 0/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 30.00x 100/100
  • Altman Z-Score 2.66 63/100
Contributes 11.5 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
D 33.0
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.61 22/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 4 44/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 3/5 40/100
Contributes 6.6 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Dumping

2 of 2 gurus held; 2 trimmed; 1 full exit.

Holders
2
Avg Δ position
-51.8%
New buys
0
Full exits
1
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (10%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.