Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. logo LECO - Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 15
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $303.60 DETAILS
HIGH: $340.00
LOW: $275.00
MEDIAN: $300.00
CONSENSUS: $303.60
UPSIDE: 6.57%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 17.8% above fair value
Current Price $284.89
Bear Case $163.76 42.5% downside ($163.76 - $284.89) / $284.89 = -42.5% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $241.91 15.1% downside ($241.91 - $284.89) / $284.89 = -15.1% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $322.66 13.3% upside ($322.66 - $284.89) / $284.89 = 13.3% 16% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

12.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (12% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 41%
Implied Market Multiple 29.2x
Market is pricing in (growth) 14.0% vs our 12.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 12% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $241.91 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (22 analysts) $303.60
Analyst Range $275.00 – $340.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 20%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions