Liberty Global plc logo LBTYK - Liberty Global plc

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 20
HOLD 8
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $12.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $14.00
LOW: $11.50
MEDIAN: $12.50
CONSENSUS: $12.67
UPSIDE: 7.46%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 88.5% below fair value
Current Price $11.79
Bear Case $81.71 593.1% upside ($81.71 - $11.79) / $11.79 = 593.1% $7.44 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $102.14 766.4% upside ($102.14 - $11.79) / $11.79 = 766.4% $7.44 × 18x P/E
Bull Case $122.57 939.6% upside ($122.57 - $11.79) / $11.79 = 939.6% $7.44 × 21x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.7x
7.44$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (18x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 1.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $12.67 from 29 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $102.14 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $12.67 (from 29 analysts). Our estimate is 942% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples