LBTYK - Liberty Global plc
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$12.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$14.00
LOW:
$11.50
MEDIAN:
$12.50
CONSENSUS:
$12.67
UPSIDE:
21.48%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.7x
1.85$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (18x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
5.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 18x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.85, the base-case value is $32.80 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (29 analysts)
$12.67
Analyst Range
$11.50 – $14.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
159%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $12.67 (from 29 analysts). Our estimate is 159% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples