Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. logo KW - Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc.

Inactive Ticker KW is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 0
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 60% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 67.0% above fair value
Current Price $10.92
Bear Case $5.23 52.1% downside ($5.23 - $10.92) / $10.92 = -52.1% $0.44 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $6.54 40.1% downside ($6.54 - $10.92) / $10.92 = -40.1% $0.44 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $7.85 28.1% downside ($7.85 - $10.92) / $10.92 = -28.1% $0.44 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.44$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 25.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.44, the base-case value is $6.54 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 1353%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 1600% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples