Koppers Holdings Inc. logo KOP - Koppers Holdings Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $55.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $55.00
LOW: $55.00
MEDIAN: $55.00
CONSENSUS: $55.00
UPSIDE: 36.27%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 16.7% below fair value
Current Price $40.36
Bear Case $38.78 3.9% downside ($38.78 - $40.36) / $40.36 = -3.9% $3.12 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $48.47 20.1% upside ($48.47 - $40.36) / $40.36 = 20.1% $3.12 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $58.17 44.1% upside ($58.17 - $40.36) / $40.36 = 44.1% $3.12 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
3.12$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 12.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $55.00 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $48.47 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples