KMI - Kinder Morgan, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$37.25
DETAILS
HIGH:
$43.00
LOW:
$32.00
MEDIAN:
$37.00
CONSENSUS:
$37.25
UPSIDE:
16.33%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.1x
1.37$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
23.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.37, the base-case value is $20.66 per share. DDM cross-check: $18.42.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (34 analysts)
$37.25
Analyst Range
$32.00 – $43.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
45%
Warnings
The company pays out 86% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $37.25 (from 34 analysts). Our estimate is 45% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples