KMB - Kimberly-Clark Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$113.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$121.00
LOW:
$100.00
MEDIAN:
$115.50
CONSENSUS:
$113.00
UPSIDE:
4.33%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.1x
6.07$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
17.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $6.07, the base-case value is $104.02 per share. DDM cross-check: $86.65.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (31 analysts)
$113.00
Analyst Range
$100.00 – $121.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
8%
Warnings
The company pays out 84% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples