Kimberly-Clark Corporation logo KMB - Kimberly-Clark Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 18
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $117.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $120.00
LOW: $115.00
MEDIAN: $117.00
CONSENSUS: $117.25
UPSIDE: 12.66%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 0.0% above fair value
Current Price $104.07
Bear Case $85.66 17.7% downside ($85.66 - $104.07) / $104.07 = -17.7% $6.07 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $104.02 0.0% upside ($104.02 - $104.07) / $104.07 = -0.0% $6.07 × 17x P/E
Bull Case $122.38 17.6% upside ($122.38 - $104.07) / $104.07 = 17.6% $6.07 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.1x
6.07$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 17.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $6.07, the base-case value is $104.02 per share. DDM cross-check: $86.65.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (31 analysts) $117.25
Analyst Range $115.00 – $120.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 11%

Warnings

⚠ The company pays out 84% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples