Kimberly-Clark Corporation logo KMB - Kimberly-Clark Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 10
HOLD 18
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $108.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $121.00
LOW: $99.00
MEDIAN: $107.50
CONSENSUS: $108.75
DOWNSIDE: 0.22%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 3.2% above fair value
Current Price $108.99
Bear Case $87.00 20.2% downside ($87.00 - $108.99) / $108.99 = -20.2% $6.09 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $105.65 3.1% downside ($105.65 - $108.99) / $108.99 = -3.1% $6.09 × 17x P/E
Bull Case $124.29 14.0% upside ($124.29 - $108.99) / $108.99 = 14.0% $6.09 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.1x
6.09$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 17.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $108.75 from 31 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $105.65 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company pays out 84% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples