AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag JBSS as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for JBSS is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value JBSS?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from JBSS's most recent reported fundamentals.

JBSS - John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild

Trading 1.2% below fair value

Current Price $84.93

Bear Case $70.82 16.6% downside ($70.82 - $84.93) / $84.93 = -16.6% $5.06 × 14x P/E

Fair Value $86.00 1.3% upside ($86.00 - $84.93) / $84.93 = 1.3% $5.06 × 17x P/E

Bull Case $101.17 19.1% upside ($101.17 - $84.93) / $84.93 = 19.1% $5.06 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

17.0x

Adjusted EPS

5.06$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 16.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $5.06, the base-case value is $86.00 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company pays out 121% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples