IRT - Independence Realty Trust, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$19.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$20.00
LOW:
$19.00
MEDIAN:
$19.00
CONSENSUS:
$19.33
UPSIDE:
19.47%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Residential REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
24.7x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($1.27) × residential P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
12.7x
Plain-Language Summary
At $1.27 FFO/share with a 25x residential REIT multiple, the base-case value is $31.42 per share. Dividend yield: 4.3%.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (27 analysts)
$19.33
Analyst Range
$19.00 – $20.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
63%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Wall Street's average price target is $19.33 (from 27 analysts). Our estimate is 63% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify