First Internet Bancorp logo INBK - First Internet Bancorp

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 6
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $26.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $29.00
LOW: $24.00
MEDIAN: $26.50
CONSENSUS: $26.50
UPSIDE: 11.96%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 25.1% below fair value
Current Price $23.67
Bear Case $22.13 6.5% downside ($22.13 - $23.67) / $23.67 = -6.5% ROTCE 4.0% → 0.30x TBV
Fair Value $31.61 33.6% upside ($31.61 - $23.67) / $23.67 = 33.6% ROTCE -9.9% → 0.30x TBV
Bull Case $41.10 73.6% upside ($41.10 - $23.67) / $23.67 = 73.6% ROTCE -11.4% → 0.30x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

-9.9%
9.0%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (-9.9%) vs. cost of equity (9.0%)

Implied Market Multiple 0.58x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $26.50 from 10 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $31.61 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Return on equity (-9.9%) is below the minimum investors require (9.0%). This means the bank is worth less than the net assets on its books.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly