Integral Ad Science Holding Corp. logo IAS - Integral Ad Science Holding Corp.

Inactive Ticker IAS is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 6
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $14.29 DETAILS
HIGH: $25.00
LOW: $10.30
MEDIAN: $13.00
CONSENSUS: $14.29
UPSIDE: 38.20%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 14.4% above fair value
Current Price $10.34
Bear Case $5.11 50.6% downside ($5.11 - $10.34) / $10.34 = -50.6% 12% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $9.04 12.6% downside ($9.04 - $10.34) / $10.34 = -12.6% 20% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $13.93 34.7% upside ($13.93 - $10.34) / $10.34 = 34.7% 26% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

19.9%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (20% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 42%
Implied Market Multiple 52.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $14.29 from 12 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $9.04 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 158% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $14.29 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 46% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions