AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Hut 8 Corp.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag HUT as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Hut 8 Corp.'s fair value?

Fair value for HUT is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value HUT?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from HUT's most recent reported fundamentals.

HUT - Hut 8 Corp.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $100.36 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong

Trading 84.7% above fair value

Current Price $105.90

Bear Case $40.13 62.1% downside ($40.13 - $105.90) / $105.90 = -62.1% ROTCE 4.0% → 0.30x TBV

Fair Value $57.33 45.9% downside ($57.33 - $105.90) / $105.90 = -45.9% ROTCE -18.8% → 0.30x TBV

Bull Case $74.52 29.6% downside ($74.52 - $105.90) / $105.90 = -29.6% ROTCE -21.7% → 0.30x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

Return on Tangible Equity

-18.8%

Cost of Equity

14.0%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (-18.8%) vs. cost of equity (14.0%)

Implied Market Multiple 9.93x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $100.36 from 16 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $57.33 per share.

Warnings

⚠ Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.

⚠ Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

⚠ Return on equity (-18.8%) is below the minimum investors require (14.0%). This means the bank is worth less than the net assets on its books.

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $100.36 (from 16 analysts). Our estimate is 57% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly