Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. logo HOV - Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 1
HOLD 6
SELL 5
STRONG
SELL
0
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

C- 48.6 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for cyclical & capital-intensive businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
C- 50.2
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 11.2% 66/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -1.31 pp/yr 14/100
Contributes 7.5 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
A- 86.3
  • 5yr Avg ROE 32.4% 100/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR 0.2% 61/100
Contributes 12.9 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 10%
D- 27.4
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 1.7% 34/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR -45.8% 0/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 3/5 60/100
Contributes 2.7 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
B 74.6
  • 5yr FCF Margin 6.2% 55/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 1.07x 99/100
Contributes 11.2 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
D- 29.2
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 5.06x 15/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 3.43x 49/100
  • Altman Z-Score 1.65 31/100
Contributes 7.3 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
D 35.0
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 1.07 0/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 2/5 60/100
Contributes 7.0 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Holding

1 of 2 gurus held; 1 added; 1 full exit.

Holders
1 -1
Avg Δ position
+16.8%
New buys
0
Full exits
1
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (10%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.