The Hackett Group, Inc. logo HCKT - The Hackett Group, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $16.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $17.00
LOW: $16.00
MEDIAN: $16.50
CONSENSUS: $16.50
UPSIDE: 48.25%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 40.2% below fair value
Current Price $11.13
Bear Case $14.88 33.7% upside ($14.88 - $11.13) / $11.13 = 33.7% $1.24 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $18.60 67.1% upside ($18.60 - $11.13) / $11.13 = 67.1% $1.24 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $22.32 100.5% upside ($22.32 - $11.13) / $11.13 = 100.5% $1.24 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.24$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 9.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.24, the base-case value is $18.60 per share. DDM cross-check: $8.50.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (5 analysts) $16.50
Analyst Range $16.00 – $17.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 13%

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 164%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
⚠ The company pays out 102% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $8.50 (below our primary estimate by 54%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples