The Hackett Group, Inc. logo HCKT - The Hackett Group, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $16.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $17.00
LOW: $16.00
MEDIAN: $16.50
CONSENSUS: $16.50
UPSIDE: 48.51%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 38.9% below fair value
Current Price $11.11
Bear Case $14.54 30.9% upside ($14.54 - $11.11) / $11.11 = 30.9% $1.24 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $18.18 63.6% upside ($18.18 - $11.11) / $11.11 = 63.6% $1.24 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $21.82 96.4% upside ($21.82 - $11.11) / $11.11 = 96.4% $1.24 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.24$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 9.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $16.50 from 5 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $18.18 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 164%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 102% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Dividend-based valuation: $9.31 (below our primary estimate by 50%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples