HBAN - Huntington Bancshares Incorporated
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$20.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$23.00
LOW:
$18.00
MEDIAN:
$21.00
CONSENSUS:
$20.33
UPSIDE:
20.15%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
12.6%
9.5%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (12.6%) vs. cost of equity (9.5%)
Implied Market Multiple
1.94x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 12.6% vs. 9.5% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 1.56x on $8.71 tangible book, implying $21.08 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (48 analysts)
$20.33
Analyst Range
$18.00 – $23.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
4%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly