Huntington Bancshares Incorporated logo HBAN - Huntington Bancshares Incorporated

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 24
HOLD 20
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $20.38 DETAILS
HIGH: $21.00
LOW: $18.00
MEDIAN: $21.00
CONSENSUS: $20.38
UPSIDE: 28.02%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 16.8% below fair value
Current Price $15.92
Bear Case $13.39 15.9% downside ($13.39 - $15.92) / $15.92 = -15.9% ROTCE 9.4% → 0.95x TBV
Fair Value $19.13 20.2% upside ($19.13 - $15.92) / $15.92 = 20.2% ROTCE 12.6% → 1.51x TBV
Bull Case $24.87 56.2% upside ($24.87 - $15.92) / $15.92 = 56.2% ROTCE 14.5% → 1.84x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

12.6%
9.7%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (12.6%) vs. cost of equity (9.7%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.43x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $20.38 from 48 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $19.13 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $6.52 (65% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly