HBAN - Huntington Bancshares Incorporated
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$19.60
DETAILS
HIGH:
$21.00
LOW:
$18.00
MEDIAN:
$19.50
CONSENSUS:
$19.60
UPSIDE:
29.03%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
12.6%
9.6%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (12.6%) vs. cost of equity (9.6%)
Implied Market Multiple
1.74x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 12.6% vs. 9.6% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 1.52x on $8.71 tangible book, implying $21.08 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (49 analysts)
$19.60
Analyst Range
$18.00 – $21.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
8%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly