Huntington Bancshares Incorporated logo HBAN - Huntington Bancshares Incorporated

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 22
HOLD 23
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $19.60 DETAILS
HIGH: $21.00
LOW: $18.00
MEDIAN: $19.50
CONSENSUS: $19.60
UPSIDE: 29.03%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 27.9% below fair value
Current Price $15.19
Bear Case $14.76 2.9% downside ($14.76 - $15.19) / $15.19 = -2.9% ROTCE 9.4% → 0.96x TBV
Fair Value $21.08 38.8% upside ($21.08 - $15.19) / $15.19 = 38.8% ROTCE 12.6% → 1.52x TBV
Bull Case $27.40 80.4% upside ($27.40 - $15.19) / $15.19 = 80.4% ROTCE 14.5% → 1.85x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

12.6%
9.6%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (12.6%) vs. cost of equity (9.6%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.74x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 12.6% vs. 9.6% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 1.52x on $8.71 tangible book, implying $21.08 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (49 analysts) $19.60
Analyst Range $18.00 – $21.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 8%

Warnings

⚠ Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
⚠ Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly