Huntington Bancshares Incorporated logo HBAN - Huntington Bancshares Incorporated

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 21
HOLD 23
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $20.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $23.00
LOW: $18.00
MEDIAN: $21.00
CONSENSUS: $20.33
UPSIDE: 20.15%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 19.7% below fair value
Current Price $16.92
Bear Case $14.76 12.8% downside ($14.76 - $16.92) / $16.92 = -12.8% ROTCE 9.4% → 0.99x TBV
Fair Value $21.08 24.6% upside ($21.08 - $16.92) / $16.92 = 24.6% ROTCE 12.6% → 1.56x TBV
Bull Case $27.40 62.0% upside ($27.40 - $16.92) / $16.92 = 62.0% ROTCE 14.5% → 1.90x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

12.6%
9.5%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (12.6%) vs. cost of equity (9.5%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.94x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 12.6% vs. 9.5% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 1.56x on $8.71 tangible book, implying $21.08 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (48 analysts) $20.33
Analyst Range $18.00 – $23.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 4%

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly