Hasbro, Inc. logo HAS - Hasbro, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 17
HOLD 16
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $109.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $123.00
LOW: $92.00
MEDIAN: $110.00
CONSENSUS: $109.00
UPSIDE: 23.72%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 43.1% above fair value
Current Price $88.10
Bear Case $49.26 44.1% downside ($49.26 - $88.10) / $88.10 = -44.1% $2.75 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $61.57 30.1% downside ($61.57 - $88.10) / $88.10 = -30.1% $2.75 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $73.89 16.1% downside ($73.89 - $88.10) / $88.10 = -16.1% $2.75 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
2.75$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 32.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $109.00 from 33 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $61.57 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $109.00 (from 33 analysts). Our estimate is 62% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples