HAS - Hasbro, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$107.17
DETAILS
HIGH:
$123.00
LOW:
$90.00
MEDIAN:
$107.50
CONSENSUS:
$107.17
UPSIDE:
12.63%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
1.47$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
64.7x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.47, the base-case value is $22.05 per share. DDM cross-check: $40.40.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (33 analysts)
$107.17
Analyst Range
$90.00 – $123.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
79%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $40.40 (above our primary estimate by 83%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $107.17 (from 33 analysts). Our estimate is 79% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples