Hasbro, Inc. logo HAS - Hasbro, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 17
HOLD 16
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $109.57 DETAILS
HIGH: $123.00
LOW: $85.00
MEDIAN: $110.00
CONSENSUS: $109.57
UPSIDE: 38.57%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 28.1% above fair value
Current Price $79.07
Bear Case $49.40 37.5% downside ($49.40 - $79.07) / $79.07 = -37.5% $2.75 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $61.75 21.9% downside ($61.75 - $79.07) / $79.07 = -21.9% $2.75 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $74.10 6.3% downside ($74.10 - $79.07) / $79.07 = -6.3% $2.75 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
2.75$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 28.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $109.57 from 33 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $61.75 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $109.57 (from 33 analysts). Our estimate is 62% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples