Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. logo HALO - Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 17
HOLD 9
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $75.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $95.00
LOW: $56.00
MEDIAN: $75.00
CONSENSUS: $75.00
UPSIDE: 9.14%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 12.0% below fair value
Current Price $68.72
Bear Case $57.84 15.8% downside ($57.84 - $68.72) / $68.72 = -15.8% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $78.07 13.6% upside ($78.07 - $68.72) / $68.72 = 13.6% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $96.99 41.1% upside ($96.99 - $68.72) / $68.72 = 41.1% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

8.1%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (8% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%
Implied Market Multiple 16.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $75.00 from 27 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $78.07 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions