Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. logo HALO - Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 18
HOLD 8
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $103.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $115.00
LOW: $90.00
MEDIAN: $105.00
CONSENSUS: $103.00
DOWNSIDE: 4.44%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 8.2% above fair value
Current Price $107.78
Bear Case $68.46 36.5% downside ($68.46 - $107.78) / $107.78 = -36.5% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $99.61 7.6% downside ($99.61 - $107.78) / $107.78 = -7.6% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $130.58 21.2% upside ($130.58 - $107.78) / $107.78 = 21.2% 14% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

10.5%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 23.9x
Market is pricing in (growth) 11.4% vs our 10.5% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 10% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $99.61 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (27 analysts) $103.00
Analyst Range $90.00 – $115.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 3%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions