AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Hyatt Hotels Corporation's fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag H as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Hyatt Hotels Corporation's fair value?

Fair value for H is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value H?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from H's most recent reported fundamentals.

H - Hyatt Hotels Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $194.92 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong

Trading 102.4% above fair value

Current Price $184.86

Bear Case $48.29 73.9% downside ($48.29 - $184.86) / $184.86 = -73.9% 6% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Fair Value $91.35 50.6% downside ($91.35 - $184.86) / $184.86 = -50.6% 10% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Bull Case $133.39 27.8% downside ($133.39 - $184.86) / $184.86 = -27.8% 13% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

DCF Stage 1 Growth Rate

10.0%

Discount Rate (WACC)

12.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%

Implied Market Multiple 48.0x

Market is pricing in (growth) 22.8% vs our 10.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $194.92 from 49 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $91.35 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $194.92 (from 49 analysts). Our estimate is 76% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions