GRAB - Grab Holdings Limited
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$5.95
DETAILS
HIGH:
$7.00
LOW:
$5.00
MEDIAN:
$5.90
CONSENSUS:
$5.95
UPSIDE:
73.98%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
19.3%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (19% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
46%
Implied Market Multiple
167.4x
Market is pricing in (growth)
37.5%
vs our 19.3% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 19% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $1.77 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (12 analysts)
$5.95
Analyst Range
$5.00 – $7.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
70%
Warnings
Stock-based employee pay equals 90% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $5.95 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 70% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions