General Motors Company logo GM - General Motors Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
2
BUY 31
HOLD 14
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $95.60 DETAILS
HIGH: $110.00
LOW: $59.00
MEDIAN: $100.00
CONSENSUS: $95.60
UPSIDE: 20.22%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 18.4% below fair value
Current Price $79.52
Bear Case $77.94 2.0% downside ($77.94 - $79.52) / $79.52 = -2.0% $6.37 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $97.43 22.5% upside ($97.43 - $79.52) / $79.52 = 22.5% $6.37 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $116.92 47.0% upside ($116.92 - $79.52) / $79.52 = 47.0% $6.37 × 19x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.4x
6.37$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 12.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $95.60 from 51 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $97.43 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 95%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples