Glass House Brands Inc. logo GLASF - Glass House Brands Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $12.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $12.00
LOW: $12.00
MEDIAN: $12.00
CONSENSUS: $12.00
UPSIDE: 18.23%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 302.8% above fair value
Current Price $10.15
Bear Case $2.16 78.7% downside ($2.16 - $10.15) / $10.15 = -78.7% $0.12 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $2.52 75.2% downside ($2.52 - $10.15) / $10.15 = -75.2% $0.12 × 21x P/E
Bull Case $2.88 71.6% downside ($2.88 - $10.15) / $10.15 = -71.6% $0.12 × 24x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.0x
0.12$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (21x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 84.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 21x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.12, the base-case value is $2.52 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples