GILD - Gilead Sciences, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$161.76
DETAILS
HIGH:
$180.00
LOW:
$133.00
MEDIAN:
$165.00
CONSENSUS:
$161.76
UPSIDE:
20.39%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
14.0x
7.97$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
16.9x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $161.76 from 58 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $129.12 per share.
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $57.33 (below our primary estimate by 49%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $161.76 (from 58 analysts). Our estimate is 31% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples