GILD - Gilead Sciences, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$151.25
DETAILS
HIGH:
$180.00
LOW:
$123.00
MEDIAN:
$152.50
CONSENSUS:
$151.25
UPSIDE:
3.07%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
14.0x
6.78$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
21.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 14x P/E to adjusted EPS of $6.78, the base-case value is $94.92 per share. DDM cross-check: $58.38.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (58 analysts)
$151.25
Analyst Range
$123.00 – $180.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
37%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $58.38 (below our primary estimate by 38%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $151.25 (from 58 analysts). Our estimate is 37% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples