Frontier Communications Parent, Inc. logo FYBR - Frontier Communications Parent, Inc.

Inactive Ticker FYBR is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 4
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $34.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $38.50
LOW: $23.00
MEDIAN: $38.50
CONSENSUS: $34.33
DOWNSIDE: 10.81%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Leveraged Infrastructure 80% confidence

Primary model: EV/EBITDA × Telecom Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 163.2% above fair value
Current Price $38.49
Bear Case $6.13 84.1% downside ($6.13 - $38.49) / $38.49 = -84.1% EBITDA $2B × 6.0x − $11B debt
Fair Value $14.62 62.0% downside ($14.62 - $38.49) / $38.49 = -62.0% EBITDA $2B × 7.0x − $11B debt
Bull Case $23.12 39.9% downside ($23.12 - $38.49) / $38.49 = -39.9% EBITDA $2B × 8.0x − $11B debt

Adjust Assumptions

7.0x

Key Value Driver

EV/EBITDA multiple (7.0x) vs. 5.3× leverage

Implied Market Multiple 9.8x

Plain-Language Summary

At 7.0x EV/EBITDA on $2B EBITDA, enterprise value is $15B. After subtracting $11B net debt, equity value is $14.62 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (11 analysts) $34.33
Analyst Range $23.00 – $38.50
Divergence from AlphaVal 57%

Warnings

⚠ Debt is 5.3x annual operating profit. Because the company carries so much debt, even small shifts in business value cause big swings in the stock price.
⚠ Operating profit only covers interest payments 2.6 times over. If the company needs to refinance at higher rates, it could struggle to service its debt.
ℹ We value this business based on total operating profit relative to total enterprise value (debt + equity). Profit-per-share metrics are unreliable when debt makes up most of the company's value.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $34.33 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 57% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Debt refinancing at higher rates compresses equity value quickly
  • EBITDA flatters — capex, interest, and taxes eat the cash flow
  • Cord-cutting and wireless substitution are structural headwinds for cable