FLYW - Flywire Corporation
Price:
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--
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$18.56
DETAILS
HIGH:
$21.00
LOW:
$16.00
MEDIAN:
$18.00
CONSENSUS:
$18.56
UPSIDE:
15.14%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
20.0%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (20% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
46%
Implied Market Multiple
16.2x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $18.56 from 19 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $34.72 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $18.56 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 116% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions