FLEX - Flex Ltd.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$147.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$180.00
LOW:
$95.00
MEDIAN:
$149.00
CONSENSUS:
$147.50
UPSIDE:
33.48%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
2.33$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
47.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.33, the base-case value is $34.95 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (25 analysts)
$147.50
Analyst Range
$95.00 – $180.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
76%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $147.50 (from 25 analysts). Our estimate is 76% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples