Flex Ltd. logo FLEX - Flex Ltd.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 18
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $150.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $203.00
LOW: $80.00
MEDIAN: $171.00
CONSENSUS: $150.00
UPSIDE: 14.82%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 102.9% above fair value
Current Price $130.64
Bear Case $51.50 60.6% downside ($51.50 - $130.64) / $130.64 = -60.6% $2.39 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $64.38 50.7% downside ($64.38 - $130.64) / $130.64 = -50.7% $2.39 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $77.26 40.9% downside ($77.26 - $130.64) / $130.64 = -40.9% $2.39 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
2.39$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 54.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $150.00 from 25 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $64.38 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $150.00 (from 25 analysts). Our estimate is 76% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples