Flex Ltd. logo FLEX - Flex Ltd.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 18
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $145.17 DETAILS
HIGH: $180.00
LOW: $80.00
MEDIAN: $169.50
CONSENSUS: $145.17
UPSIDE: 9.59%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 109.7% above fair value
Current Price $132.47
Bear Case $50.53 61.9% downside ($50.53 - $132.47) / $132.47 = -61.9% $2.39 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $63.17 52.3% downside ($63.17 - $132.47) / $132.47 = -52.3% $2.39 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $75.81 42.8% downside ($75.81 - $132.47) / $132.47 = -42.8% $2.39 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
2.39$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 55.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $145.17 from 25 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $63.17 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $145.17 (from 25 analysts). Our estimate is 75% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples