Flex Ltd. logo FLEX - Flex Ltd.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 18
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $147.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $180.00
LOW: $95.00
MEDIAN: $149.00
CONSENSUS: $147.50
UPSIDE: 33.48%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 216.2% above fair value
Current Price $110.50
Bear Case $27.96 74.7% downside ($27.96 - $110.50) / $110.50 = -74.7% $2.33 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $34.95 68.4% downside ($34.95 - $110.50) / $110.50 = -68.4% $2.33 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $41.94 62.0% downside ($41.94 - $110.50) / $110.50 = -62.0% $2.33 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
2.33$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 47.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.33, the base-case value is $34.95 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (25 analysts) $147.50
Analyst Range $95.00 – $180.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 76%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $147.50 (from 25 analysts). Our estimate is 76% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples