FIVN - Five9, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$31.25
DETAILS
HIGH:
$40.00
LOW:
$22.00
MEDIAN:
$31.50
CONSENSUS:
$31.25
DOWNSIDE:
12.64%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
15.4%
12.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (15% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
39%
Implied Market Multiple
28.2x
Market is pricing in (growth)
15.5%
vs our 15.4% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 15% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $35.42 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (41 analysts)
$31.25
Analyst Range
$22.00 – $40.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
13%
Warnings
Stock-based employee pay equals 376% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions