Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. logo FIS - Fidelity National Information Services, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 21
HOLD 14
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $58.22 DETAILS
HIGH: $85.00
LOW: $44.00
MEDIAN: $57.00
CONSENSUS: $58.22
UPSIDE: 39.12%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 38.7% above fair value
Current Price $41.85
Bear Case $24.15 42.3% downside ($24.15 - $41.85) / $41.85 = -42.3% $1.21 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $30.18 27.9% downside ($30.18 - $41.85) / $41.85 = -27.9% $1.21 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $36.21 13.5% downside ($36.21 - $41.85) / $41.85 = -13.5% $1.21 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.21$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 34.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $58.22 from 37 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $30.18 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 61%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 224% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $58.22 (from 37 analysts). Our estimate is 69% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples