Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. logo FIS - Fidelity National Information Services, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 21
HOLD 14
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $63.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $85.00
LOW: $50.00
MEDIAN: $60.00
CONSENSUS: $63.50
UPSIDE: 45.81%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 37.1% above fair value
Current Price $43.55
Bear Case $25.41 41.6% downside ($25.41 - $43.55) / $43.55 = -41.6% $1.21 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $31.76 27.1% downside ($31.76 - $43.55) / $43.55 = -27.1% $1.21 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $38.11 12.5% downside ($38.11 - $43.55) / $43.55 = -12.5% $1.21 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.21$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 36.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $63.50 from 37 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $31.76 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 61%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 224% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $63.50 (from 37 analysts). Our estimate is 71% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples