Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. logo FIS - Fidelity National Information Services, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 20
HOLD 15
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $49.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $57.00
LOW: $43.00
MEDIAN: $49.00
CONSENSUS: $49.00
UPSIDE: 18.24%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 268.4% above fair value
Current Price $41.44
Bear Case $9.00 78.3% downside ($9.00 - $41.44) / $41.44 = -78.3% $0.75 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $11.25 72.9% downside ($11.25 - $41.44) / $41.44 = -72.9% $0.75 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $13.50 67.4% downside ($13.50 - $41.44) / $41.44 = -67.4% $0.75 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.75$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 55.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.75, the base-case value is $11.25 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (37 analysts) $49.00
Analyst Range $43.00 – $57.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 77%

Warnings

The company pays out 229% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $49.00 (from 37 analysts). Our estimate is 77% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples