FIS - Fidelity National Information Services, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$45.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$54.00
LOW:
$37.00
MEDIAN:
$45.50
CONSENSUS:
$45.50
UPSIDE:
28.21%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
0.75$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
47.3x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.75, the base-case value is $11.25 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (37 analysts)
$45.50
Analyst Range
$37.00 – $54.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
75%
Warnings
The company pays out 229% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $45.50 (from 37 analysts). Our estimate is 75% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples