FIS - Fidelity National Information Services, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$58.22
DETAILS
HIGH:
$85.00
LOW:
$44.00
MEDIAN:
$57.00
CONSENSUS:
$58.22
UPSIDE:
39.12%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
1.21$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
34.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $58.22 from 37 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $30.18 per share.
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 61%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 224% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $58.22 (from 37 analysts). Our estimate is 69% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples