Franklin Covey Co. logo FC - Franklin Covey Co.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $25.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $25.00
LOW: $25.00
MEDIAN: $25.00
CONSENSUS: $25.00
UPSIDE: 24.50%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 4.7% below fair value
Current Price $20.08
Bear Case $17.36 13.5% downside ($17.36 - $20.08) / $20.08 = -13.5% $1.24 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $21.08 5.0% upside ($21.08 - $20.08) / $20.08 = 5.0% $1.24 × 17x P/E
Bull Case $24.80 23.5% upside ($24.80 - $20.08) / $20.08 = 23.5% $1.24 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.0x
1.24$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 16.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.24, the base-case value is $21.08 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (8 analysts) $25.00
Analyst Range $25.00 – $25.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 16%

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 417%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples