FA - First Advantage Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$25.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$30.00
LOW:
$18.00
MEDIAN:
$26.00
CONSENSUS:
$25.00
UPSIDE:
16.93%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
15.2%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (15% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
43%
Implied Market Multiple
21.6x
Market is pricing in (growth)
10.0%
vs our 15.2% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 15% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $36.72 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (12 analysts)
$25.00
Analyst Range
$18.00 – $30.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
47%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $25.00 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 47% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions