Etsy, Inc. logo ETSY - Etsy, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 22
HOLD 20
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $70.24 DETAILS
HIGH: $85.00
LOW: $55.00
MEDIAN: $72.00
CONSENSUS: $70.24
UPSIDE: 12.60%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Stable Earnings Power

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

C+ 57.8 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for stable earnings power businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 20%
D 37.0
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 0.0% 10/100
  • Operating Margin Trend +2.47 pp/yr 100/100
Contributes 7.4 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
D+ 40.8
  • 5yr Avg ROE 0.0% 10/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -4.2% 98/100
Contributes 6.1 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 15%
C- 48.1
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 5.5% 62/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR -20.0% 0/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 5/5 100/100
Contributes 7.2 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
A- 85.2
  • 5yr FCF Margin 24.7% 95/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 2.42x 74/100
Contributes 12.8 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 20%
B+ 79.9
  • Net Debt / EBITDA -2.39x 100/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 14.33x 91/100
  • Altman Z-Score 1.60 30/100
Contributes 16.0 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 15%
C 55.0
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.60 22/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 0/5 100/100
Contributes 8.3 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Trimming

6 of 6 gurus held; 1 new buy; 2 added; 3 trimmed; 1 full exit.

Holders
6 +1
Avg Δ position
-4.3%
New buys
1
Full exits
1
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (20%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (15%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (20%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (15%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.