Etsy, Inc. logo ETSY - Etsy, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 22
HOLD 20
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $85.13 DETAILS
HIGH: $105.00
LOW: $65.00
MEDIAN: $87.50
CONSENSUS: $85.13
UPSIDE: 17.00%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Stable Earnings Power

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B- 62.6 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for stable earnings power businesses. Purely quantitative — the six pillars score only reported financials, no analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 20%
C 54.1
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 4.9% 34/100
  • Operating Margin Trend +2.47 pp/yr 100/100
Contributes 10.8 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
A 87.2
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -2.0% 87/100
Contributes 13.1 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 15%
C 56.9
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 10.8% 82/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR -12.4% 0/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 5/5 100/100
Contributes 8.5 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
A- 85.2
  • 5yr FCF Margin 24.7% 95/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 2.42x 74/100
Contributes 12.8 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 20%
C- 47.8
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 3.97x 31/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 14.33x 91/100
  • Altman Z-Score 1.45 26/100
Contributes 9.6 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 15%
C 51.7
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.60 22/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 0/5 100/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 5 56/100
Contributes 7.8 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Dumping

5 of 6 gurus held; 4 added; 2 full exits.

Holders
5 -1
Avg Δ position
+102.9%
New buys
0
Full exits
2
As of Q2 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (20%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (15%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (20%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (15%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Negative-Revenue Years (5), Piotroski F-Score

The six pillars read only reported financial-statement fields — no analyst targets or consensus ratings. The archetype that picks which pillar formulas apply is not fully price-free, though: it can route a company to the distressed/ungradable archetype based on price vs. its 52-week high, and beta affects one classification check. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required. Insurers and banks are graded on their own methodology — insurers on loss ratio, its trend and stability, and premiums-to-surplus; banks on the efficiency ratio, its trend and stability, and equity-to-assets — rather than on industrial margin/ROIC signals. Distressed, highly leveraged infrastructure, asset-manager, and other financial businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.