EQBK - Equity Bancshares, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$56.20
DETAILS
HIGH:
$60.00
LOW:
$51.00
MEDIAN:
$57.00
CONSENSUS:
$56.20
UPSIDE:
12.74%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
3.6%
8.5%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (3.6%) vs. cost of equity (8.5%)
Implied Market Multiple
1.63x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 3.6% vs. 8.5% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 0.30x on $30.55 tangible book, implying $51.45 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (6 analysts)
$56.20
Analyst Range
$51.00 – $60.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
8%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Return on equity (3.6%) is below the minimum investors require (8.5%). This means the bank is worth less than the net assets on its books.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly